biscottigelato
Joined 8 years ago
Joined 8 years ago
I'd suspect the space industry will slow down drastically again if somehow that man stops putting space as a priority (or at least one of his priorities). Currently I don't think there's any one or company that is able to push the envelope AND still turn an operational profit at the same time. Even Starship program is not. Making it work is the exception, not some inevitable norm as others are making it as. Aka - "just because of government money".
"We have to have a collective look at what 1st-world governments, the media, and most "ordinary" people have been focusing on since the late 60's." still applies. Fixing the everyday problem is part of the problem-set to get to the "civilization advancing" goals.
Government is also extremely inefficient. To build the service it'll cost them 10x more than private companies doing it. How much do you want to pay in taxes? There will come a point that even if the government actually is trying, that even if the entire GDP is converted the taxes that it'll still end up with a worse quality of life for the rest of us. Governments is easily corrupt and extremely inefficient. Its almost never the answer.
My suspicion is that the birth rate will actually trend lower...
However if we are talking about 10x more intelligence, then that'd be a whole different ball game.
Check Alpha Go -> Alpha Go Zero. Gaining orders of magnitude in capability only with slight change to the model, along with a lot of more resource (we can easily throw 100x more compute and data to these models if someone seriously wants to and don't care about ROI. Or maybe if AI starts to be hugely profitable, 100x in investment is almost a rational outcome) is not uncommon in AI research.
And something that went orbital at supersonic speed
Is not even remotely the same universe
McDonell Douglas have done up and down since 1992
SpaceX is the only entity that have recovered and reused any rocket parts after sending payloads orbital
Wake me up when someone have done even a test that resembles orbital recovery
Until then all the EDS in here has zero power over reality