atweiden
Joined 13 years ago
Joined 13 years ago
Once in the deflationary environment, the cost of borrowing would be higher, and there would be less reason to work, consume and invest. Hence, there would be less incentive to take on debt.
Many things are preferable to having 0 savings and a planet on fire.
> “As the lockdown to stop the spread of coronavirus in India continues, pollution levels across much of the country have dropped sharply. Now some residents in northern India say they can see the snow-capped Himalayas 200 kilometres away for the first time in 30 years.” [1]
If we had a global deflationary economic system, the incentive to invest in capital and engage in consumerism would dissipate. People would work less, because there would be less reason to work. Without work, people would have less reason to travel. Pollution would drop accordingly.
Under a deflationary economic system, a touch over $480,000 in savings would yield an effective “UBI” of $1000/mo [2].
Once adopted by the entire world, a global currency of fixed supply controlled by computer algorithms could achieve this. Humans would voluntarily work less and pollute less.
[1] https://www.sbs.com.au/language/english/audio/himalayas-visi...
In Australia, police would patrol the streets to ensure people were staying within a 5 km radius of their residence, and to ensure they were only out for a reason deemed essential by the government.
This was accompanied by international, interstate and intrastate border closures, i.e. you couldn’t enter Australia, and couldn’t enter another state within Australia if already in Australia, nor could you in some cases even drive from one part of the state to another, without a special exemption.
I hesitate to ask what Florida did to enforce the lockdowns, because I’m fairly certain what passed for a “lockdown” outside of Asia-Pacific was a joke by comparison. I strongly doubt any of the above measures were done by any state in the US at any point in the pandemic.
If “being an island nation” was all it took to eradicate Covid, why was Hawaii unable to do so?
It’s clear border security was a rather important factor. And can you think of a more essential responsibility of government than securing the borders?
Gentle reminder that Australia is an “island country” the size of the continental US with several densely-populated major cities.
> And now looking at outcomes across different states (e.g. Florida vs. California)--and considering ALL outcomes (public health, homelessness, unemployment, substance abuse, mental health, truancy, graduation rates, violent crime)--it's indeed unclear that draconian policies in the name of public health were a net positive.
Why are we drawing conclusions about the effectiveness of Covid safety protocols based on the failed half-measures taken by America? We have a plethora of working examples to study from the Asia-Pacific region: Australia, New Zealand, Hong Kong, Taiwan, Vietnam and China all eradicated Covid pre-Omicron.
> But there seems to be little introspection from those who propose sweeping policy change about the need to consider second-order effects on those whose lives and livelihoods will be upturned.
Equally, there seems to be little introspection amongst American libertarians about the role their own society’s dysfunction might be playing in shaping their personal beliefs.
The innumerable dark-seeming corners of the language is part of what makes Raku so very, distinctly “Perl”. Little traits and single character sigils that change everything. I find the black magic of Perl моѕt all∪ring ∮.
It also myopically focuses on household debt. But household debt is significantly lower than either corporate debt or government debt [1].
The biggest debtors benefit the most from inflation — quantitatively speaking, the debts of ordinary people aren’t very big.
[1]: https://www.mckinsey.com/~/media/McKinsey/Industries/Financi...
Just for fun, I thought I’d do the math on deflationary economics:
#!/usr/bin/env raku
use v6;
multi sub deflate($n, $r, $y)
{
my $m = $n;
loop (my $i = 0; $i < $y; $i++)
{
$m = deflate($m, $r);
}
$m;
}
multi sub deflate($n, $r)
{
$n * (1 + $r);
}
sub MAIN(:$rate = 0.0225, :$years = 10)
{
my $purchasing-power = 1;
my $deflate = deflate($purchasing-power, $rate, $years);
my $output = qq:to/EOF/.trim;
After $years years of deflation at a rate of {$rate * 100}% per year,
purchasing power is {$deflate * 100}% of what it was initially.
EOF
$output.say;
}
Without inflation, your personal wealth would grow by the average inflation rate target plus GDP growth, compounding each year.Assuming an average inflation rate target of 2% per year (per the Fed) and an average GDP growth rate of 0.25% per year, your real purchasing power would grow by about 25% per decade.
Under this scenario, you could mimic a universal basic income of $1000 per month upon saving a total of $480,307.
Bonus: your monthly “UBI” could never be shut off by your government.
Raku’s built-in grammars make parsers trivial to write. I effortlessly created two [2] — one for reordering fstab entries, and the other for converting human-readable LUKS offsets into cryptsetup sectors — on a lazy afternoon. Grammars in Raku make this second nature.
Then you have Raku’s multi-dispatch. It is more capable than Erlang/Elixir pattern matching:
# a list with at least one element, extracting the head and tail
multi sub tail(*@list ($head, *@tail)) { @tail }
multi sub tail(*@list) { @list }
[3]
==> tail()
==> say(); # []
[3, 4]
==> tail()
==> say(); # [4]
# pattern matching with arbitrary guards
multi sub user($name where { is-valid-user($_) }) { $name.say }
multi sub user($name) { "invalid name: $name".say }
sub is-valid-user($name)
{
# notice the additive character class in this regex: “letters plus digits”
# fail the match if $name is root
try with $name ~~ /(<+:Letter +digit>+)/ { $0 ne 'root' or fail }; $!.not
}
user('name'); # name
user('1234'); # 1234
user('root'); # invalid name: root
class Coordinates
{
has $.latitude is required;
has $.longitude is required;
}
class City
{
has Str:D $.name is required;
has Str:D $.state is required;
has Str:D $.country is required;
has Coordinates:D $.coordinates is required;
}
my $latitude = -37.840935;
my $longitude = 144.946457;
my Coordinates $coordinates .= new(:$latitude, :$longitude);
my Str:D $name = 'Melbourne';
my Str:D $state = 'Victoria';
my Str:D $country = 'Australia';
my City $melbourne .= new(:$name, :$state, :$country, :$coordinates);
my City:D $sydney = do {
my Coordinates:D $coordinates = do {
my $latitude = -33.86514;
my $longitude = 151.209900;
Coordinates.new(:$latitude, :$longitude);
};
my Str:D $name = 'Sydney';
my Str:D $state = 'New South Wales';
my Str:D $country = 'Australia';
City.new(:$name, :$state, :$country, :$coordinates);
};
# deeply nested argument deconstruction
multi sub melbourne-or-bust(
City:D $city (
Str:D :$name where 'Melbourne',
Str:D :$state,
Str:D :$country,
:$coordinates (
:$latitude,
:$longitude
)
)
)
{
my $gist = qq:to/EOF/.trim;
Welcome to the city of $name. It’s located in $state, $country.
GPS coordinates: $latitude, $longitude
EOF
$gist.say;
}
multi sub melbourne-or-bust(City:D $city)
{
'This isn’t Melbourne.'.say;
}
melbourne-or-bust($melbourne); # Welcome to the city of Melbourne ...
melbourne-or-bust($sydney); # This isn’t Melbourne
> Perl 6 was treated as the successor of Perl 5 -- and that was the mistake. It meant Perl 5 started dying,Perl 6 took a long time to make, but how much did that matter? What was Perl going to do about Rails, Clojure, Go, Rust, JS/TS, and more? The world of programming languages used to be a lot smaller than it is today.
> Perl 6 had a new different syntax.
Inline::Perl5 [3] allows running legacy Perl 5 code in Perl 6 codebases.
[1]: https://docs.raku.org/language/5to6-nutshell#Regular_express...
Perl 6 was designed to be the successor language to Perl 5.
The only technical grounds for Perl 6 being metaphorically sidelined was because Perl 6 lacked the startup and runtime performance characteristics of Perl 5 — fixable problems.
Proponents of Perl 5 often contend Perl could’ve escaped developer mindshare loss without Perl 6 in the picture. But to claim Python, Ruby on Rails, Clojure, Go, Rust and JS/TS never would’ve gained serious developer mindshare had _Perl 6_ not existed seems very myopic to me. All the brilliant new languages and web frameworks launching were bound to erode Perl’s early established dominance regardless.
Things would be different now if Perl 6 was at least as performant as Perl 5. Perhaps then it would’ve become popular years ago amongst Perl users to switch all greenfield Perl code to Perl 6. Then “Perl” would’ve become synonymous with modern language features.
Users and developers are dependent on miners to create blocks. The negotiating power of miners is self-evident.
That’s a great question, and one Jude C. Nelson — who has a PhD in distributed systems from Princeton — is better equipped to answer [1] than me (or you, probably):
“PoW requires less proactive trust and coordination between community members than PoS -- and thus is better able to recover from both liveness and safety failures -- precisely because it both (1) provides a computational method for ranking fork quality, and (2) allows anyone to participate in producing a fork at any time. If the canonical chain is 51%-attacked, and the attack eventually subsides, then the canonical chain can eventually be re-established in-band by honest miners simply continuing to work on the non-attacker chain. In PoS, block-producers have no such protocol -- such a protocol cannot exist because to the rest of the network, it looks like the honest nodes have been slashed for being dishonest. Any recovery procedure necessarily includes block-producers having to go around and convince people out-of-band that they were totally not dishonest, and were slashed due to a "hack" (and, since there's lots of money on the line, who knows if they're being honest about this?).”
Fairly launched proof of work systems are a great deal more equitable than PoS premined ICO coins. This is just a fact.
> a publicly accessible ico is just as equitable as someone mining btc with their cpu on low difficulty.
No, absolutely not. Obviously someone has to get the ICO money. How on earth is that “just as equitable” as anyone in the world being able to use any old Windows computer to mine coins on demand. With proof of work, money isn’t being transferred from end users to developers, or their many Swiss foundations.
Phone-a-friend consensus aka “weak subjectivity” doesn’t meaningfully differ from the administration of centralized Git repositories. If your blockchain requires human intervention to resolve disputes, as do all pure proof of stake implementations, you probably never needed a blockchain to begin with.
> Once the marginal productivity of physical capital is below the real interest rate people will abandon production even if there is a shortage of products and people are starving on the street.
Given the profit margin on farming is something like 10%, and assuming the average annual purchasing power appreciation of our hypothetical global currency of fixed supply equals the Fed’s inflation target of 2% plus 0.25% GDP growth, how do we arrive at people “starving on the street”?
> If you want to discourage consumption you should introduce consumption taxes for natural resources, co2 and other forms of pollution
Surely the level of taxation necessary to curb industrial and retail usage of fossil fuels to the same extent of global deflationary economics would make the taxation measures politically infeasible. The tax policy would need to result in unthinkably high prices to create the drastic changes necessary. Deflation OTOH would lead to a decline in capital investment, employment, and spending without requiring any level of forcible compulsion.
A global currency of fixed supply would realistically deliver a sufficiently powerful financial incentive to galvanize widespread, voluntary adoption of ecologically sustainable consumer behaviour and business practices.
> by maintaining full employment
Particularly with the rise of automation and AI, is maintaining full employment really an achievable goal? We desperately need a way for the majority of humans to subsist without working bullshit jobs [1].
> hence the need to force ever greater quantities of money into the economy to keep it alive
We’re facing ecological collapse precisely because humanity has chased infinite growth.
[1]: https://www.strike.coop/bullshit-jobs/