asdfologist

Who's Chen? Do you mean Yen?

You're glossing over the false statement in your original argument that the cure was not confirmed. The slide says it passed stage 3.

Wrong: the slide says "the cocktail indeed passes a stage 3 trial." Be careful before you accuse others of bad reading comprehension.

But the slide says it passes a stage 3 trial. Surely many dying patients would kill for the opportunity to take the drug.

How about 100 years?

BTW you're comparing 3.8 flash high to opus 5 medium. 3.8 flash medium scores lower.

Fair challenge, the ability to write good prose is load-bearing for essential tasks.

Unlike math, software is constrained by the physical world.

Meh, I doubt it was intentional. Deliberate benchmaxxing is incredibly damaging to credibility once it's discovered (see what happened to Meta with LlaMa 4).

It's more likely that the training data was contaminated with the benchmark data.

Why was this downvoted? The math checks out. Multiplying by 4 and then dividing by 12 is wrong.

Easy way to verify this: assume only 1 person in the queue and only 1 machine. Then the original calculation yields 4/12 of a year, even though the actual wait time is (about) 1/12 of a year.

But you said you've been working on those problems for months, so didn't you throw those same problems at Opus?

Aren't there regulations on all sorts of technology? Medicine, nuclear power, etc.

Diminishing returns on additional labor.