Recent submissions

Comment · 3 months ago
Do you have a citation for that? I was under the impression that was an "old wives tale". Human's often face huge temperature swings in winter.

In fact we go out of our way to experience these swings with saunas and cold plunges. I have put this up in the same category of "wet hair gives you pneumonia", but I am open to learning one way or another.

Comment · 8 months ago
Is there any irony in a thread on browser malware that includes a "please run this bash script blind"?

Not that I don't trust you, but between now and when someone stumbles on this thread, your domain could expire and I could publish something crazy at that url.

Comment · 2 years ago
These are mechanically linked controls. Literally the force of the other pilot is directly felt and observed.

What force feedback in addition would you have in mind?

Comment · 3 years ago
The legal right is for all of Tesla's suppliers, service providers, partners, etc are allowed to "sympathy strike". This effectively exiles the company from doing business in the country. Tesla is not a particularly large employer in Sweden and does not seem to be particularly loved.

What they are doing (strikebreaker) is "legal" - but when they are removed from market by the sympathetic population, it will be an obvious outcome.

The surprise is that normally logical employers do not work this way in these countries. However, we've seen that emotional responses are often how Musk's companies operate. I expect it to end poorly for him in this case.

Sweden is not a large market, but events like this contribute to Tesla's reputational decline. The Nordic countries were some of the first and fastest to embrace Tesla. But a brand can be ruined faster than it can be built.

Comment · 3 years ago
Oh, it's not an "interesting idea" that we're teetering on the edge of not being able to differentiate between machine-generated and human-generated content. It does seem that our AI learning models simply mimic our own thinking processes, absorbing and combining experiences to create results that sometimes outshine their origins.

The real question that'll soon dominate is, "How can we even tell the difference?"*

(* - Reworded with ChatGPT 4)

Comment · 3 years ago
It's not as "vapid" as you imagine.

As an example; =maybe you have a family/friend group chat of 8 members and you're planning a birthday party or an event. If everyone is in the ecosystem, you can seamless share notes, todo's, hi-res pictures, videos, locations, etc.

Since for whatever reason your family has no idea what Signal/Telegram/WhatsApp are - you take the one person that's not on iMessages (and so preventing the group from using the tools) out of the group and say "Make sure to update so and so on the Notes here" or something. It's a practical decision. Often, that one Android user is the only one on Signal or WhatsApp. So to share pictures, you make a group of everyone on iMessage and send the videos and album over, and then send a separate WhatsApp to that person.

And sometimes you accidentally forget to send that seperate message.

The right answer is to all agree on a fully featured messaging app (For most non-US that's WhatsApp), or for the default messaging to be upgraded.

Then you get to RCS - which Google is now pushing, after going through a dozen (or two?) of their own attempts to lock users in with a bewildering array of conflicting messaging apps.

Apple should support it, although it's a bit rich to see Google try to "shame" Apple into it only because the failed at their execution.

Comment · 3 years ago
There's no moral hazard if we pay out depositors and let the bank fail. The big "problem" in 2008 was that the bailed out banks were made whole with equity injections and then continued to grow. (Although the government did quite well on those investments).

SVB is dead. Shareholders are getting zero. The losses are not being socialized. But because we don't want a bank run on every regional bank, let's make depositors whole.

Comment · 3 years ago
There is zero precedent for clawbacks from on demand accounts at a regulated financial institution. This isn't even a "capital B" Bankruptcy, so I have doubts clawbacks would be legal.

That would also throw gasoline on the fire as people cease to trust even withdrawn money as whole. It's now in your interest to get your money out of any bank showing any weakness as early as possible.

Clawback SVB money Monday and we'll have a run on First Republic Tuesday and possibly 20 other institutions by the end of the week until we get to Ally and that will empty the FDIC piggybank.

Which is why the cooler heads at the FDIC try to make all depositors whole. Hopefully they can find someone to take SVB's assets on in HTM valuation and maybe some government equity in exchange for ownership. (Remember the government made money on its equity deals in 2008).

Comment · 3 years ago
Do you work on my team? This is exactly how we're using Duckdb with Databricks as the massive data bulldozer and Duckdb as the scalpel.
Comment · 3 years ago
Return for an Iphone 14 Pro or just Iphone 14. My partner did the same thing. If you don't want the big screen and fancy triple camera system, get the cheaper options. They will still be rocketship fast with long battery life and beautiful screens.
Comment · 3 years ago
Caught a medium severity case of omicron almost exactly a year ago when I was triple vax'd.

Took the bivalent booster about 2 months ago then went on a cruise and directly after to re:invent.

Since then had multiple exposures with people around me getting week long fevers. So far I had something in my system that made me feel "slightly off" - but nothing worse.

Yay antibodies.

I'm a big believer in "more antibodies the better" - but I am also on the side of "COVID amnesty". The pandemic was an immensely scary time for everyone, and got co-opted by politics of all stripes. We need to forgive each other and move on.

I now support everyone's choice - with the standard exceptions (Childhood vaccines, don't go out when sick, respect others).

Comment · 3 years ago
Wastewater facilities are almost always run by local government. I expect it takes time to get buy in for a project like this. I didn't see if there was a grant to cover the testing, but you at very least need a worker to package up samples and mail them to a lab.

Still, this is tremendously useful where there is coverage, and looks like enough data to make sampling type of conclusions. Hopefully we'll eventually see some kind of network effect.

For example, I'm in the NYC area - and Newark NJ has coverage. There is enough overlap that I expect flu and covid curves (including strains) to be close enough to be interesting.

Comment · 4 years ago
I disagree. I believe the intentions would start as a non-nuclear response, but would rapidly spill out of control into a full send of all weapons.

This is the reality of the "Assured Destruction" of MAD. If you can take out your enemies ability to respond you can "win". With a tactical nuke in play and Rus-vs-US force engagement moves us to DEFCON 1. The name of that level is "COCKED PISTOL". A cocked pistol is something to handle gently, any wrong nudge could set it off.

Then in the background you have air to air engagements over the Black Sea - blockades of Kaliningrad, SSN's chasing SSBN's. Dozens of Cuban Missile Crisis type situations all playing out in parallel. One bad call by one local commander and a head of state is given 6 minutes to figure out if this is a first strike.

Once the line is crossed almost all of us die. It might take hours, days or weeks - but it will be an near inevitable conclusion.

Comment · 4 years ago
I think we'd need to invoke article 5 to stop Poland from rolling up on Russia in that case.

With the current hard-line politics and that absolute hate between the two, there is a hair trigger on that escalation.

Comment · 4 years ago
The only distance between the Eastern European countries and the US is that the former want a stronger response, while the US is still leaving "escalatory" options on the table (ATACMS, Bradley based IFVs, Western Tanks, etc).

The former Warsaw block countries know intimately how Russia treats its "buffer areas".

All Russia has to do is GO HOME. They are the invaders and the aggressors.

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