alpineidyll3

It read a paper and then a person who barely understands what a spin is working with a berkeley ai metric nonprofit did a blogpost.

It didn't discover anything. This is how cooked people are.

Couldn't agree more. Excellent piece.

The subs plans economically temporary and don't allow you to create agents which is the dominant market for this technology. They are subsidized so you build your business processes around Claude console, but given the critical nature of the tech only a foolish or temporary business would do such a thing.

Exactly. "Cost-to-distill" is a critical parameter. Right now usage of frontier models for all tasks is both subsidized and irrationally popular even at the subsidized price. Deepseek would solve most tasks faster and 10x cheaper. I agree with the author that just as Deloitte exists, frontier labs will exist. But not because their products are proprietary technical marvels or gods, but rather because of branding.

What if what it meant to be conscious was really the amount of will and capability for action onto the world to preserve an intelligence...

Ie: what will really cause us to treat models as conscious is when we must.

if you think the state of the art in this area is something you'll hear about from a guy that looks like santa in an academic journal, your investments deserve what's about to happen to them.

Absci has a good asset coming out pretty soon that you could try to get on the trial.

The sun is an existential threat. It will envelop earth in a few billion years, are you going to shut it off too?

This happened a full year ago. A) you should immediately discount the expertise of people just learning this now B) a designed pathogen will kill a person this century, full stop, no way to prevent that. The people who invented fission were not so stupid they imagined the bomb wouldn't occur, indeed they assumed it would. I have no idea what became of the wisdom of those people. C) just like nuclear technology that doesn't mean a prohibition is called for. Intelligence is.

What we _can_ do is invest in detection, rapid response technology (vaccines etc), and attempt to mitigate and stratify the possibilities of this happening in the worse ways.

Today's knee jerk prohibitions, and fanciful notions of prohibition working are not facilitating those changes.

Quantum chemistry ex faculty member here who left for industry: OP is 100% correct to call out this BS and this preprint is just another attempt to abuse real science to promote a failing business experiment.

Because you can view today's error prone QCs as analog emulators of other quantum systems without solving error correction, often people reach to such "simulations". Google is equally guilty. Unfortunately most materials you touch reflect the behavior of electrons which are indistinguishable fermions. Their interactions are long ranged and maintain quantum correlations with all the electrons within the screening length. The spins of a flux qubit are distinguishable, and the pattern of connectivity in existing chips limit direct interactions to a handful of such qubits. Both these differences can be emulated away but at nonlinear cost. Ie even for this toy case there is no advantage . The entire thing is a fugazi. Once you also lump in the basis sets needed to make a realistic simulation and the fact that relativity is needed to describe this complex, the simulation might as well be comparing Looney tunes physics to Newton's principia.

When I was a postdoc with Alan people were playing these same games, making the same claims the same way. Even without the required 4 years of grad physics to understand what's happening a smart person could see the lack of impact over decades and reason this is BS.

But the play works to raise more money than you can make as faculty or a software dev, so people will keep running this play, perhaps until Google tires of it. It's not that making better quantum computers is stupid we should invest in the hardware dev, but not at the expense of science and truth.

Honestly many people (including myself) still have the ability to unplug from this stuff, and so I think it's time to do that.

I actually was kinda looking for a reason to give up phones. Thanks google.

But.. are you saying your vector coupling isn't explained by the existing standard model, that the measurement lacked sufficient resolution, or that existing calculations don't agree with your measurement?

The author left out the most important detail:

- Before being ready to leave, make sure you either have, or will have, another opportunity or no need for an employer. VERY often (especially in tech!) employers/managers will have employees, not for their labor, but for vanity, to build a pyramid to themselves, or for image reasons. Such people will immediately send you packing for complaining about non-productivity. Your perception of your superior's alignment can easily be wrong.

Given that precondition... I agree with the premise.

The last time this guy was president people were locked inside and schools didn't work. A reasonable prior is that this airline thing (which did affect me) isn't the end.