alexpotato
Joined 12 years ago
Joined 12 years ago
Even pre-AI, I or other team member could have written our own versions of:
- JIRA
- Prometheus
- etc
but we didn't.
Why not? A couple reasons:
- Why write custom software for common problems that lots of other people have? We are already helping build internal custom systems for the business
- We were already supporting internal apps and now we have to support more apps? Apps that have dedicated support teams that are cheaper than us supporting them due to economies of scale/
You might say that AI changes the economics of the above to which I respond:
the marginal cost of a vendor adding another cloud instance of their existing software is, while non-zero, MUCH cheaper for them than for us. They also handle all of the security, patching, stability etc.
Yes, AI changes the absolute prices of this work but it doesn't necessarily change the relative pricing dynamics which are effectively the same.
There was a LOT of hype around "this is an entire new economic model". While, yes, digital products have zero marginal cost, people were talking as if profits and revenue didn't matter.
This was also WAY before the famous Silicon Valley "pure play" scene. [0]
I highly recommend people watch Wick is Pain [0] because it raises several interesting point:
- The film almost didn't get made until Eva Longoria joined as a producer to help get it financed.
- a lot of the Gun Fu fight scenes were actually developed for Jason Statham but he thought it was too different
- both of the directors were fight choreographers and not seasoned directors
- the guns used in the movies are blank firing but have barrels that are welded closed. This is so that they can be used at close range to other actors (which is a newer technique)
- Chad S. has a great line about the later movies: "We thought 'can we do this next?' but then we remembered we own the IP for this franchise so we can do WHATEVER we want"
I say all of this to point out that I agree with your original point and wish that there were more money available to fund "outside the norm" movies that could lead to great new franchises.
You can be a "customers are raving fanatics of your product" type company as long as you don't do the below:
- use JIRA
- find bug or have feature request
- check Atlassian bug/feature board
- see someone opens exact same issue 10 years earlier
- 3000 upvotes
- still “under review”
JIRA is the easiest example of this but there are many more.
- RAM (specifically Hitachi RAM) is very expensive
- There are still payphones even though "jacked in" VR exists
- AIs are dumb unless they are controlled by the military
Not just our hands but really our whole bodies.
I recently taught one of my kids to ride a bike and once they got it I thought to myself:
"Somehow millions of years of evolution have somehow allowed us to ride a machine that was invented <200 years ago"
Summary:
- the LIDAR had error rates that were not published
- hitting potholes could cause the INS in the car to get confused
- they weren't sure how to fix the errors from the combination of the above
- they ended up just driving the car to generate training data
It worked out well because the computer was predicting if there was an obstacle or not and a split second later the driver of the car would either drive around the real obstacle or the computer would realize that there was no obstacle.
If you've never seen the talk, highly recommend as Thrun is very funny and it's also a time capsule back to when self driving was still a brand new concept.
I always find quotes like these fascinating as I am the only one of my extended family (20+ cousins) that works in technology (SRE).
It's like the couples where both partners are SWEs: do you read each other's code and have opinions on them as developers??
The doctor that invented the "blood vessel path to the heart for a catheter" was German. He had the idea to try it out, grabbed a regular catheter, inserted it into a blood vessel in his own arm and pushed it in till he felt it in his heart.
He wanted evidence that he had actually done this so he walked to the X-Ray department (he worked at a hospital) and asked them to get him a chest x-ray.
Wild how medicine has progressed.
(This story is from The Body by Bill Bryson)
"Before they had functions and lookup tables, what would a human have done in the 1940s?"
e.g. the statistical significance is just "if I were to randomly try this, what percentage of time would it be above 5%"
When I was an intern at Merck in the late 1990s, the networking team was switching over from Token Ring to Ethernet.
It was so much work that they were openly recruiting anyone who was an employee or intern to come in on a weekend and help out. They eventually offered to pay people extra and a couple of my intern buddies took up the offer.
This is just going to make it even more desirable to a certain market segment.
If you enjoyed reading about how you can approximate complex statistical values using basic programming, I highly recommend Jake Vanderplas "Statistics for Hackers" [0][1].
It converts the sometimes hard to grok statistics terms and formulas into some very simple loops and basic operations.
Can't recommend it enough.
0 - https://speakerdeck.com/pycon2016/jake-vanderplas-statistics...
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pykrete
Fun fact: you don't need sawdust for pykrete. Adding any kind of material e.g. just newspapers can help similar to how rebar makes concrete stronger