_game_of_life
Joined 5 years ago
Joined 5 years ago
I'm still waiting on my "new kind of science." Wolfram makes all sorts of interesting claims, maybe he should focus more on interesting results.
The thing about therapy, is that you usually want benefits to last for a duration that makes the effort put in worthwhile.
>Only four studies looked at longer-term outcomes after CBT.
>No clear evidence showed maintained improvement in symptoms of anxiety among children and young people.
If you take a look at the results further they conclude:
>The few controlled follow-up studies (n = 4) indicate that treatment gains in the remission of anxiety diagnosis are not statistically significant.
I'd like to remind you that "significant" in the context of a meta-analysis means "statistically significant." If something performs at the level of a self-help book, most lay people would agree that is not a very effective treatment, even if it has a statistically significant impact.
It is done because otherwise in the 9/10 cases where things do not improve, you feel you have failed. Much easier if the client fails you instead.
You can tell yourself, "well, maybe next time they'll get better -- after all, it takes many relapses before people kick a drug habit!"
This is a lot easier to swallow than "Oh god this stuff barely is working at all, I'm mostly just a gigantic resource suck and the money I'm paid would be much better spent getting this person stable housing and other support--but that's a lot less attractive to tax payers."
I got out of social work when I had that realization. Initially I coped by saying I was a "Good Person" in a helping profession, so I never looked too deeply into whether any of this horse shit actually was "evidence-based."
Every Psych 101 class should cover the current findings on efficacy of psychotherapies. But they never do, for obvious reasons.
If you look at a longitudinal, high-quality trial (or meta-analysis, since you'd be very lucky to find any of these) of ANY psychotherapy for a specific problem, they are all pretty underwhelming in terms of efficacy.
Even CBT for conditions like anxiety in youth is poorly supported. This one, for example, shows that it is no more effective than a self-help book:
https://www.cochrane.org/CD004690/DEPRESSN_cognitive-behavio...
You can also see the similar conclusions in these meta-analysis:
https://www.cochrane.org/CD008712/SCHIZ_cognitive-behavioura...
https://www.cochrane.org/CD012614/ENT_cognitive-behavioural-...
I think it is important to realize that medications and therapies for most psychological illnesses are not particularly effective.
We try them because they are still better than doing nothing at all.
There also seems to be decent evidence that receiving empathy and compassion from therapists is more effective than their mode of therapy (See: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Common_factors_theory).
I have often seen in the mental health industry, people overstating the efficacy of treatments. CBT and anti-depressants are particularly bad offenders.
And as much as their past has portions that are super fucked up, wasn't that also a reflection of American society at the time?
I just think that for as much harm as the FBI historically caused, they've also busted enormous criminal rings and done a lot to reduce organized crime. I genuinely think Americans would be worse of without them, even with my bias as a leftist that typically loathes alphabet soup surviellance agencies.
I love the topic too, a comedian whining about "cancel culture."
So great. Sparks joy. Definitely not a tired subject, more please!
http://mattmahoney.net/dc/text.html
I don't see examples of high performing symbolic AI based compression algorithms anywhere, but again I am very ignorant, do you have examples?
I'm not a Rustacean but these memory related CVEs need to stop. Any small steps toward a memory safe(r) OS is good news to me!
I find it faster and more accurate to use a specific package in an interpreter than query Wolfram Alpha or use Mathematica. And for the simpler things a search engine will do!
That's odd to me. You don't think they'll look at the design and learn from the advances made during those centuries of hours? That's hardly throwing it all away.
The consensus in research was that Rust is extremely promising for designing a next gen memory safe OS. Some data structures are troubling to implement (paging table, etc.) but the benefits are significant.
This is just a DE but if it's a sign of more things to come potentially over the next decade I am very excited.
Linux is always going to be fragmented, and other OS (ex. Android) are either already integrating some Rust or are strongly considering it (ex. Microsoft).
Also I think about how young we are as a species that uses the scientific method to question our reality.
Maybe all of my knowledge today will not stand the test of time, and will be considered just as silly as someone from the 1600s seems to me today? (ex. A natural philosopher that believes in abiogenesis)
But a mutual respect and bond can exist if we both strive to prove ourselves wrong, adapt, and grow.
A lot more people can script now, so open source packages of computer algebra systems (Sage, numpy, scipy etc.) Probably take a small bite.
And then you have closed source ones to consider like Matlab.
The second largest chunk probably being bitten out of it is its web and app competitors (desmos, symbolab, etc.) Alexa rankings show that these see a lot more traffic and engagement (2 - 3 times).
Finally, a small portion of its functionality is now covered by search engines. I imagine they'll continue to gobble things up. There are also a few good Web tools, I used one for a linear algebra course I found a lot better than the freeware version of WolframAlpha that came with my Raspberry Pi.
I can't find any reports on its revenue or net income. I would be super curious who uses it. Maybe it's growing... who knows? I also remember it being recommended a lot in the early 2010s.
You can't logic yourself out of beliefs, I completely get that. Once you realize how depressed you are, you're usually also mired in terrible thoughts and negativity.
But in my experience, I HAVE to try to logic myself out of patterns of behaviors. I also need to fight those beliefs, as futile as it seems. Hear me out here:
I think one of the most toxic things was when I thought it was a chemical imbalance completely out of my control -- so there was nothing I could do but take pills and passively wait for my brain chemistry to correct itself.
I have recovered from like 4 or 5 episodes of major depression now, and the key for me every time has been a) realizing I'm depressed b) waiting for/creating a day when I have the energy to think and address this, and then c) reflecting on and fighting against thoughts and behaviours extending/reinforcing the depression.
Obviously this is a messy and inefficient process with a lot of slippage. And maybe it doesn't work for other people, or maybe I've got something else wrong with me than just major depression, and that's why it works.
Anyways, not trying to invalidate your experience, just sharing what I've found works for me.