SaucyWrong
Joined 2 years ago
Joined 2 years ago
I agree that the American societal zeitgeist has certainly not evolved to a point where we acknowledge luck as a major factor in personal success.
Personal success is attributed to the talent and persistence of the individual.
Personal failures are attributed to character flaws of the individual.
In the US we lionize billionaires because we believe if we are smart enough and work hard enough we could become one. We spare no thought for the role of luck in the rise of a billionaire.
But if we work hard and don’t become a billionaire, best believe it’s somebody else’s fault.
This idea that we are on the path to creating a new synthetic intelligence that surpasses our own with the goal of, what, speaking to it? Cooperating with it? Evolving with it? To me, this sort of goal is an affront to humanity and human self-governance and I’ll probably never be able to see it as anything else.
This is one of the more out of touch things I’ve read today. I’m not sure from where you’re sourcing your economic data.
Maybe you’re saying this financial collapse won’t be as bad as 2008? I’d agree with you, that one was singularly dangerous and required large scale government intervention to guarantee that the global financial infrastructure didn’t bust. But this bubble will hurt very badly at a time where the consumer is not as strong as you think.
Investors bought a lie packaged by the financial institutions. They shouldn’t have believed in the first place because the risk was junk-level but not sold as such.
Software engineering has always felt somewhat broken and dysfunctional to me even 20 years ago when I started. And LLM economics have turned into something downright hostile to its practitioners. I don’t have a similar intuition about the field of mathematics. Possibly they are in a better state to have a healthy disagreement about the use of this technology.
This take has been trotted out so many times, e.g. “How many puts have you bought if you’re so certain?”