Qhemlomo

I'm following plenty of people, i never heard 2025

Sooo if youg ive a country cheap solar panels and they save money and make themselfs independent, how is that making them more dependent on China?

And how is that a bad thing in comparision to the current status quo?

Solar panels are not high tech. You can build them yourself as a state in worst case. You cant make oil if you don't have oil.

Yes true but they are still two legal entities.

My company has no problems doing business with Amazon but doesn't buy from Anthropic directly.

It also has no risk that the data goes into the wrong hands if a competitor would buy Anthropic or if Anthropic becomes worthless and someone else buys the data.

People can interpolate.

But lets be honest, I do not know, thats true.

I ahven't seen technology like this which affects me directly. But from past we know what disruptive technology looks and feels like. The weaving chair/loom disrupted an industry, energy, steam engine, internet.

Now we have the most generic technology an LLM/AI at a time were every major problem was solved:

We have the internet which allows for fast communication, we have very fast hardware, we have a supply chain which can react/act very fast globally and we have the richest companies on our planet investing into this technology unseen amounts of money. We have a local race between the richest companies on the world and a global race between the biggest world powers on our planet.

And we have the smartest people on our planet involved in this too. A lot of peple from academy went to the industry, some gave up their tenure for AI.

It would be very ignorant to assume that all of this can't lead to significant and fast change in our society.

It might not, but its like looking at a huge wildfire 50km away and just going to bed.

Fine for the initial phase were you have to define the architecture and guardrails etc.

But doesn't matter anymore if you just add things.

He states it in a way that its so unclear that companies would actually do this.

I see this problem already for me.

I have unlimited tokens at work than i go home what do i do? Spend 200$ per month? No def not.

When Anthropic increased the limits for their 20$ plan, i started again coding with it on a private project and it was fun and i did a lot in that 4 weeks.

" AGI has been 6 months away for years now."

No one said 2 years ago, that AGI is coming in 2026.

Amazon/AWS knows how to handle this conflict in a way that customers trust them enough.

Amazon has more to loose than Anthropic

Not sure if i follow you tbh.

I only told a commentor why a business would pay more to Amazon than going directly to Anthropic.

The announcement itself is def problematic and either leads to big companies accepting this and then going directly to anthropic or some talks in the background we don't know yet what it will entail.

Dark pattern, shitty behaviour.

Nothing to excuse

Creativity is personal taste and the taste which captures the most is mainstream.

I tell jokes and the group of friends get them, for family they don't get them anymore.

I do not like 'basic jokes' and despite that, german television is full of it.

Most things in our world are more of a challange of finding the answers and not 'creating' the answers.

Math: the answer is already there, you only need to find it an fast space of posibilities. This is perfect for LLMs.

Creativity: a LLM can iterate over things a lot faster than a person. So we can iterate over this space too. We can also get feedback from people, tiktok, instagram.

No thats just not true.

Plenty of people say that by 2030 we have AGI, others estimate 10-20 years.

I personally say 5-15 years.

AI 2027 estimates for 2027: "OpenBrain automatescoding"

Yeah thats not the point though.

We 'trust' Amazon already and Amazon has no incentive at all to collect the data to finetune claude because they don't own claude.

The best batteries are currently from CATL. No one in the industry is doubting this.

Huawei just showed LogicFolding and have a roadmap for 1.4 nanometer by 2031; SMIC is going for 5nm.

And all of this WITHOUT EUV.