QasimK
Joined 9 years ago
Joined 9 years ago
I agree with you. The idea that ULEZ means people must give up driving is ridiculous and overblown. It does not affect the vast majority of people at all.
I’ve tried the app a few times over the last couple of years and had a dislike of the UI because it did not _feel_ right, like it was slow or something. I can’t say exactly what.
It is almost certainly because it is using flutter rather than native DOM elements.
(I’ve been keeping track of ente but never quite made the jump - not solely due to the UI though!)
Not something so complex that it requires docker. Not something that requires you to install a separate database. Not something that depends on redis and other external services.
I’ve turned down many self-hosted options due to the complexity of the setup and maintenance.
I find a files-centric (and more broadly filesystem-centric) approach easier to grapple with than one that focuses on apps (and hiding away the data). It makes it much easier to access my own data for other purposes outside of what the app provides. In particular when the files are in plain-text or otherwise human-editable. I can reuse all of the existing tool that I'm familiar with to search, modify or re-purpose the data.
1. More likely to be red because the urn has a greater chance of having more red balls
2. Equally likely by considering all remaining urn possibilities to be equally likely
3. More likely to be green because obviously there is one less red ball than before
I wrote a Python program to simulate the problem. It tells me that the correct answer is (2) - it's equally likely that the next ball is red or green.
I wonder if I've made a mistake, or if that's really the real answer!
#!/usr/bin/python
import random
from collections import Counter
def experiment():
urn = random.choices(["R", "G"], k=100)
if urn.pop() != "R":
return
return urn.pop()
results = (experiment() for i in range(1_000_000))
results = (result for result in results if result is not None)
print(Counter(results))
EDIT: I did make a mistake! The above produces a binomial distribution of urns with red/green. As in, the most common urn is one with an equal number of reds and greens, and the least common is all reds or all greens. Whereas they should have equal probability. To actually match the question: #!/usr/bin/python
import random
from collections import Counter
def experiment():
num_red = random.randint(1, 100)
num_green = 100 - num_red
urn = ["R"] * num_red + ["G"] * num_green
random.shuffle(urn)
if urn.pop() != "R":
return
return urn.pop()
results = (experiment() for i in range(1_000_000))
results = (result for result in results if result is not None)
print(Counter(results))
The answer is indeed (1) More likely to be red.The ULEZ standard requires diesel cars to conform to Euro 6, available since 2015 - the diesel emissions scandal notwithstanding. (The in-practice standards for diesel cars are much much more lenient than for petrol cars.)
The ULEZ standard requires petrol cars to conform to only Euro 4, required since 2005 but some cars manufactured as early as 2001 meet the standard including my 2002 MINI.
This means relatively few people are actually affected by ULEZ, compared to the implication that you need a car manufactured from 2015 onwards.
It’s a common Japanese food and he just said give it a go.
How do you measure something like societal benefit?
I'm sure we could agree that eradicating disease is very beneficial, but would we disagree about the entire tourism and entertainment industry as a whole?
I can guarantee we have different opinions about the value of things. That's why we should be free to make our own choices. We don't need everyone in the world to help define what "societal benefit" is for them, they can do it every time they pay for something out of their own pocket.
(There is one thing that I think fulfills your criteria though, flights for holidays. They contribute more, and increasingly more, carbon emissions than bitcoin does while delivery little "societal benefit" - whatever that means. However, I'm not arguing anything here because I think it's morally wrong to focus on specific activities that affect a minority of people. And yes, banning taking flights for holidays would only affect a small minority of people globally.)
Certainly, if someone told me my room was going to be 2 degrees hotter permanently, I wouldn't think twice about it.
Unfortunately, it looks like these won't be published in time for COP26 in Glasgow later this year.
(Not just flights - everything except essential goods including via trains, ships and lorries. Certainly all people should have been disallowed entry.)
They'll choose the $6 one, and keep their carbon tax dividend in their pocket too.
They won't really be worse off.
On the other hand, the rich will be worse off because they take more flights, consume more resources, and generally cause more carbon emissions anyway from their day-to-day lives.
[ my public key: https://keybase.io/qasimk; my proof: https://keybase.io/qasimk/sigs/pRwu846p7BlhR2U2L7UJw1btX4EvL78NMRDyl5zn2vw ]