N_trglctc_joe
Joined 7 years ago
Joined 7 years ago
money_in_account * exp( interest_rate/12 )
In person, I agree completely. Skepticism towards your friends/ family/ acquaintances can easily poison the discourse and ruin relationships. If I have a discussion with a person I know, then I should absolutely give them the benefit of the doubt, and take what they say at face value unless they say something I find literally incredulous.
When you're having a discussion online though, it's a completely different story. People say stupid stuff on the internet, and "stupid" is a spectrum that goes all the way to "well-intentioned and seemingly-logical but poorly-researched and false". Online, and on a site such as this which aims for a certain level of discourse, every claim should be backed up. There's always somebody who disagrees that is going to read your comment, and you should give them a reason to reconsider their initial position.
This is not an easy thing to do. I believe a lot of stuff without knowing immediately why. This forces me to better account for my ideas, which helps structure my thinking. I'm not a strong enough logician to make infallible arguments, but by trying to convince an eternal skeptic, I only make my own arguments better.
[EDIT: I gave you an upvote, since you were in the gray. Some others had downvoted you, but that was undeserved, since I think your disagreement was in good faith. Other people, please don't downvote stale's comment.]
Regardless of the accuracy of the original statement, I feel as though "initial skepticism" is ALWAYS the correct response to a claim made on the internet. If anybody is going to claim anything on a site like HN, they shouldn't have to provide evidence because they might not be trustworthy, but rather they should have to provide evidence so their statements can actually have something to stand on.
Here's a counter-question: why do you think you would be able to compete with them on price? If you have a good reason to think you can, then I'd say you have a chance, but if your reason is "Saas X just feels like it should be cheaper", do some more research.
There's only a contradiction if the two groups are mutual exclusive. Retirement accounts belonging to those in the top 10% will be counted in both categories.
Assuming the data is good, a little math shows that less than half of stocks owned by retirement accounts belong to the bottom 90%.
If not though, nearly a million out of 17.6 million bitcoins seems like a huge number to be out of circulation, and that's a lower bound (other bitcoin owners have almost certainly died without being able to pass them on). I know that the rate at which bitcoins are awarded slows over time, so it seems like eventually the rate at which bitcoins are lost due to owner death should exceed the rate at which they are created.
How is the long-term state of bitcoin not just a bunch of unrecoverable keys held by dead people?
I think I would get more from investing in something boring-yet-reliable and finding another job. Do you really think that an idea someone gave you on the internet is likely to provide more happiness than having a cushion and retiring earlier?
At the very least, you should hold off for a few years until you have an idea and the technological/business skills/partners to implement it.
Good for it, but in the mean time a car tunnel would still have worse throughput than public transportation (less than two train's worth per day), rely on unproven technology (both for tunneling and moving the cars in a human-friendly way), and almost certainly not be financially viable (without massive subsidies).
Yes we need better public transportation, but there are well-established methods for effecting this. We just need to invest in them instead of Musk's poorly-conceived flamethrower company.
Nice emoticon, btw. It definitely didn't make me completely disregard your opinion.