MisterMunchkin

Maybe the answer to the Fermi paradox is that the universe is so big that you simply never get anywhere.

No message you send out ever gets far enough for anyone to see it. No ship you send out ever reaches another system. It’s just a big empty void.

You stay in your own lame system, browsing lame terrestrial memes and never escape.

That’s what they mean by 100% efficiency, whereas real generators can’t perfectly scale their fuel use with electricity usage.

There is nothing to indicate that they will achieve general intelligence. Their models have stagnated and are incapable of continuous learning, so the architecture is a dead end.

The mistake is assuming that science is linear. You could give me a trillion dollars, there’s still no guarantee I’ll invent cold fusion. You can’t predict or guarantee inventions.

I don’t believe in betting on single companies but I’d be more inclined to bet on Amazon and Google. Most AI deployments go through bedrock, and Google has their own cloud business and other businesses to make money. That means they can win regardless of who develops the next cool model.

They’re not a public company so the only people buying in are insiders and the rich.

They’re dead. As soon as people start getting fearful you’ll go to zero, they won’t have FOMO anymore. FOMO was the only reason people were investing.

If you exclude all of their costs like hardware, training, $10m/engineer salaries, dojos, CEO sex islands…

Can we ban twitter links? I have to use a hack to even read it and it’s always just slop. If you can’t be bothered to write an actual article, why should we bother to read it.

That’s the dumbest thing I’ve ever read. Spaffing millions per month on this slop is the kind of thing people suffering from AI psychosis do. There is no way you need “thousands of agents” to build any product.

The more agents you throw at something, the more they collide. Those collisions generate more slop, which requires further slop processing agents.

They have chosen to run concentration camps and starve their own people for decades instead of becoming a rich country like South Korea. They can stop the sanctions whenever they want, by becoming a democracy.

They're running using full size models on external APIs so there's no chance of that. But you could always use a model to build and adapt little deterministic AIs.

Like take an existing NPC mod and then get it to improve how they work and direct those NPCs, rather than directly controlling a character with an LLM.

They absolutely are just printing free cash

Until someone robs you. I've seen teams of burglars target asian households around weddings, because they know that all the family gold will be in the house. Fastest way to lose 100k.

That is such an extreme and weird opinion

That isn’t possible, training is non-deterministic.

Even if they did that, you would have no way of verifying that the data they upload and the model they claim to have trained is the weights they have shared. It’s a nonsensical idea.

If you want a trusted public model, we need to start a foundation that does it. The Linux of AI.

You’re going to need some serious money though.