ItsMattyG

does that site have a list of solutions/dates they come out? or do you remove problems once they've been solved?

Yes, of course Eventually prices will go down... But there will be a period where things are much more expensive, based on simple inability to make much more gpus than the current rollouts demand.

And after that period when costs are going up due to gpus replacing workers... All bets are off on terms of what the economy even looks like

hi

that's not me, but hi

painting groups you don't agree with with obviously false descriptors like 'sex cult'

You fall for this stuff? It's obviously not a sex cult

Again, there is a moat based on compute. If the thesis is right, cost of compute will only rise... As it is as you say someone will have it be quite wealthy to host something like Astra with trillions of parameters, but that cost will only rise with demand for serving these frontier models.

To me it seems the opposite. There's a few companies in the world that have enough compute to train and serve frontier models.

As the frontier gets smarter and more useful prices will only go up, as they are set to replace jobs being paid six or seven figures a year - the demand for as much inference on these models for as long as possible will be astronomical, but compute starting in 2030 will not be keeping up.

Eventually prices will fall for assistants but the frontier will be the most profitable thing in the world, and the top companies basically already have oligopolies due to their ridiculously expensive compute investments.

Is this news at this point?

You can basically time your openai releases by if another safety person has quit in protest

I don't see how this will survive the attacker/defender gap as ls get increasingly good at cyber security and finding 0 days... but maybe it's an obscure enough is it doesn't matter?

if you're into litrpg, have you tried the wandering inn? it's not so meaty but it's above almost all other litrpgs in that department and the storytelling is great

eventually it will be pennies, but based on current trends i'd bet value outpaces price decreases for a while once it actually becomes an employee replacement

the demand then will rise and prices will rise in tandem

it is of course possible that 'deep learning hits a wall' and they don't get there, but i wouldn't bet on it

true, and humanity may all be dead due to rogue ai or speciation, so maybe there'd be no humans around to care

say more?

you can't reason about currently because the entire economy will change before collapsing completely - there will be a poor class and a rich class

they won't need their advertising models because they'll have a new oligopoly on ai, and make the money directly from b2b

which yes, will completely destroy the consumer economy and social structures and current forms of governance