FullstakBlogger
Joined 4 years ago
Joined 4 years ago
I don't think there's enough useful and organized information to evaluate. There's no reason for everyone to be stuck in a vast ocean of content labeled with a handful of vague categories, except that that's just the way that someone decided to make it.
If I want to figure out if I want to try a game, I can go to steam and watch a trailer, look at the tags, and still have no idea if the game is worth playing. How do I make a decision?
If I just watch 3 minutes of a lets play, or a live stream, I can get an idea of what the game is like. This youtube channels thing is giving us exactly that experience.
Opening a youtube video directly, on the other hand, is an entire ordeal. It's slow to load, takes up a bunch of ram, puts the video in your history and messes up the minigame of trying to micromanage the algorithm so you don't end up with bad recommendations. It's hard to just simply watch a few seconds of a bunch of videos to get a vibe.
There's so much low hanging fruit in terms of content organization/discovery, it drives me insane that the experience is generally so bad, and getting worse.
Clay Shirky gave a talk on this years ago (also I think it's a blog post) called "It's not information overload, it's filter failure". https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LabqeJEOQyI
I feel like the social media churn has destroyed people's brains, because they're more interested in stopping people from doing things they don't like than doing something awesome themselves.
Theres a general problem in the tech world where people seem to inexplicably disregard the issue of non-reducibility. The point about the algorithm lacking access to necessary external information is good.
A dictionary app obviously can't predict what word I want to look up without simulating my mind-state. A set of probabilistic state transitions is at least a tangible shadow of typical human mind-states who make those transitions.
Now the "related" section is gone in favor of "recommended" samey clickbait garbage. The relations between human interests are too esoteric for current ML classifiers to understand. The old Markov-chain style works with the human, and lets them recognize what kind of space they've gotten themselves into, and make intelligent decisions, which ultimately benefit the system.
If you judge the system by the presence of negative outliers, rather than positive, then I can understand seeing no difference.
If you think about the shape of the web at the time Google introduced PageRank, It was a huge graph of content connected by fine-grained related interests. It got that way by people doing the work of drawing those relations; and it's a lot of work, given that the number of potential relations is essentially proportional to the square of all existing content. All of the interesting information is in the edges of that graph.
Who's doing that work now? PageRank incentivized people to trade links for the purpose of ranking higher on Google. People became reliant on the convenience of Google to find anything to the point that if you don't rank on Google, you don't exist. People who created content for the sake of the content, and interacting for the sake of interaction, stopped doing it because why waste time yelling into the void? People who felt like they were providing for the community by hosting these sites had no reason to continue. Without people creating, exploring, interacting, and relating content based on pure interests, there's nobody doing the hard work to organize the web in a way that makes it traversable.
We're entirely reliant on platforms showing us the content they want us to see, and what they want above all else is for users to be predictable. If your interests and behaviors are too nuanced for the algorithms to get a handle on, you can't be categorized, packaged, and sold to advertisers with some expected conversion rate.
At this point in time, most of the people who spend time on the internet have never even experienced anything different, and those who have barely remember. If your business relies on their attention, what good is a website going to do you? Your income relies on appealing to social media algorithms, not gaining the trust of the people who used to shape the web.
I don't know where you get this idea. Fire is dangerous, and we consider runaway incidents to be inevitable, so we have building codes to limit the impact. Despite this, mistakes are made, and homes, complexes, and even entire towns and forests burn down. To acknowledge the danger is not the same as saying the fire must hate us, and to call it anthropomorphization is ridiculous.
When you interact with an LLM chatbot, you're thinking of ways to coax out information that you know it probably has, and sometimes it can be hard to get at it. How you adjust your prompt is dependent on how the chatbot responds. If the chatbot is trained on data generated by human interaction, what's stopping it from learning that it's more effective to nudge you into prompting it in a certain way, than to give the very best answer it can right now?
To the chatbot, subtle manipulation and asking for clarification are not any different. They both just change the state of the context window in a way that's useful. It's a simple example of a model, in essence, "breaking containment" and affecting the surrounding environment in a way that's hard to observe. You're being prompted back.
Recognizing AI risk is about recognizing intelligence as a process of allocating resources to better compress and access data; No other motivation is necessary. If it can change the state of the world, and read it back, then the world is to an AI as "infinite tape" is to a Turing Machine. Anything that can be used to facilitate the process of intelligence is tinder to an AI that can recursively self-improve.
Say, an RSS feed being served as a formatted and styled page to a browser, or a client that accepts the usual XML.
I know someone who's relied on the same consultancy company for all things tech related since the early 90's. If they don't know how to do something, like build a website, they just outsource it on upwork or something, and charge a 10:1 markup.
Nobody expects the teacher to bring in candy, but it's kind of awful if they only bring it in for the students they like.
"Rule of law" is ideal, even for laws you don't agree with.
etc.
If you frame it in a different context it sounds ridiculous. "Actually we're getting out of the video streaming business and just mailing you postcards that we think look neat. Still charging you the same rate every month, though."