Forlien

Joined 12 years ago

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Member since

Jul 10

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What makes you think that persuasion isn't capped at some lower level than world-ending? There's a lot of incentive for ads to be as persuasive as possible, but they are so far from ending the world that it'd be science fiction for an ad to be that effective.

If you're just talking about convincing a few individuals to do experiments, then there are plenty of people who fall for scams everyday.

Comment · 1 year ago

You might be interested in https://www.theargumentmag.com/p/giving-people-money-helped-... which talks about the studies showing low effects for just giving money to Americans. It seems like just giving people money is still unproven to have impacts to make people healthier, happier (beyond the year they start giving money), get them better jobs, or improve their children’s intellectual development. There's still hope for targeted programs, but it changed my view on blanket payments.

Comment · 2 years ago

> what's the point to change the platform

Money. From https://www.reddit.com/r/slatestarcodex/comments/i10p4m/surv..., Substack gave him a "very very generous offer in terms of how the monetization would work".

Comment · 4 years ago

Not the OP, but when an investor acquires more than 5% of a stock, they have a limited time to disclose it. Elon disclosed his Twitter stock acquisition too late (20 days after instead of 10) and using the wrong form (Schedule 13G instead of Schedule 13D), painting him as a passive investor rather than an activist.

https://www.bloomberg.com/opinion/articles/2022-04-06/elon-m... talks about it.

Comment · 4 years ago

Even if it became illegal, qualified immunity would protect the offical who made the threats, so officials will likely never be personally impacted by breaking the law and so it'll keep being broken.

Comment · 4 years ago

Western society says that some decisions are only able to be made by people who are old enough. If you think about other decisions like gambling at a casino, joining the army or purchasing alcohol, then it might help you understand where they're coming from.

Comment · 4 years ago

Per https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/long-covid-much-more-t..., it sounds like long term physical and mental impacts can stay with people who get hospitalized by the flu. Why are you more worried about long COVID than persistent effects of diseases that have been around longer like the flu?

Comment · 5 years ago

The best I can find is https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Pluribus_(poker_bot), but it sounds like it was limited to a few demonstrations.

Comment · 5 years ago

Forgive me if this is a dumb question, since I'm not that well educated about this. Why can't they sue the police department or some similar body instead of the individuals? My understanding is that QI protects the individuals, but not the government itself from being sued; however, I don't see any discussion of that route when this defense is brought up.

Comment · 6 years ago

According to posters on the subreddit for the blog, he emailed people who had been to in-person meetups for the blog. https://www.reddit.com/r/slatestarcodex/comments/hbk52q/psa_...

Comment · 8 years ago

From their page when you click apply:

> NB! Please be aware that e-Residency does not confer citizenship, tax residency, residence or right of entry to Estonia or to the European Union. It is not a visa or residence permit.

Too bad. It looks like this can't make you a citizen of the EU.

Comment · 8 years ago

I've heard that some minor internet celebrities will call their police department when moving to a new area to warn about potential swatting calls. You could try to do the same, but it's probably hit-or-miss.

Comment · 9 years ago

IQ might be a better predictor, but the linked paper says it's not a far better one:

"The results demonstrate that intelligence is a powerful predictor of success but, on the whole, not an overwhelmingly better predictor than parental SES or grades."

Comment · 9 years ago

Hmm, do you think there are some things you can say that would classify as an action you could be arrested for rather than an idea?

For example, yelling "Fire!" in a crowded building, offering a bribe, and threatening someone all seem like actions you could be arrested for in the USA where the only evidence is your speech (or a recording of it). Would these qualify as thought crimes to you and if so do you think there is a developed nation with free speech where they are accepted?

Comment · 9 years ago

http://www.businessinsider.com/americans-are-drinking-less-s... says 41 gallons per capita in 2014. Converted, it's 0.4252 liters per day, so a liter per day is more than double the average.