Dorialexander
Joined 2 years ago
Joined 2 years ago
On the second points:
* Well I'm very much involved in making open more models, pretrained the first model on free and open data without copyrigh issues, released the first version fo GRPO that can run on Google Colab (based on Will Brown). Yet, even then I have to be realistic: open source RL has a data issue. We don't have the action sequence data nor the recipes (emulators) that could make it possible to replicate even on a very small scale what big labs are currently working on.
* Agreed on this and I'm seeing this dynamic already in a few areas. Now it's still going to be uphill as some of the data can be bought and advanced pipelines can shortcut some of the need for it, as models can be trained directly on simulated environments.
The key thing really about my post: it's about the strategy model providers are going to apply in the next 1-2 years. Even the title is coming from an OpenAI slide. Any wrappers will have to operate under this environment.
The really important distinction is between workflow (what everyone use in applied LLM right now) and actual agents. LLM agents can take their own decision, browse online, use tools, etc. without direct supervision as they are directly trained for the task. They internalize all the features of LLM orchestration.
The expression ultimately comes from a slide from OpenAI from 2023 https://pbs.twimg.com/media/Gly1v0zXIAAGJFz?format=jpg&name=... — so in a way its a long held vision in big labs, just getting more accute now.
* RL is Reinforcement Learning. Already used for a while as part of RLHF but now we have started to find a very nice combo of reasoning+RL on verifiable tasks. Core idea is that models are not just good a predicting the next token but the next right answer.
* I think anything infra with already some ML bundled is especially up for grabs but this will have a more transformative impact than your usual SaaS. Network engineering is a good example: highly formalized but also highly complex. RL models could increasingly nail that.
An important background is the imminent rise of actual LLM agents I discuss in the next post: https://vintagedata.org/blog/posts/designing-llm-agents
So answering to a few comments:
*The shift is coming relatively soon thanks to the latest RL breakthroughs (I really encourage to give a look at Will Brown talk). Anthropic and OpenAI are close to nail long multi-task sequences on specialized tasks.
*There are stronger incentives to specialize the model and gate them. They are especially more transformative on the industry side. Right now most of the actual "AI" market is still largely rule-based/ML. Generative AI was not robust enough but now these systems can get disrupted — not to mention many verticals with a big focus on complex yet formal tasks. I know large network engineering co are upscaling their own RL capacities right now.
*Open source AI is distanced so far due to lack of data/frameworks for large scale RL and tasks related data. Though we might see a democratization of verifiers, it will take time.
Several people from big labs reached out since then and confirmed that, despite the obvious uncertainties, this is relatively one point.
Prompt : Écrit un livre de Michel Foucault sur les mesures de confinements pendant l'épidémie de COVID-19.
French historical model: Il est donc important de préciser que les mesures de confinement, loin d'être une simple réaction à la crise sanitaire, sont en réalité le résultat d'une longue histoire des techniques de gouvernementalité. Elles ont été étudiées et mises en place dans différents contextes (guerre, épidémies) au cours du XIXe siècle. Il faut aussi bien comprendre qu'elles ne se limitent pas à l'aspect médical : il s'agit également d'un ensemble de dispositifs qui permettent d'organiser et de contrôler un espace urbain considéré comme atteint par une maladie contagieuse. Le confinement n'est donc pas seulement une méthode pour empêcher les personnes infectées de sortir de chez elles ; c'est surtout une manière de surveiller les mouvements des individus et de les mettre en quarantaine si nécessaire. La question de savoir comment ces mesures ont pu être acceptées par les populations doit être posée dans le contexte historique où les techniques de gouvernementalité ont été développées et appliquées. Enfin, il est essentiel de souligner que la pandémie actuelle a mis en lumière l'insuffisance des systèmes de soins publics et privés, ainsi que l'impact socio-économique de cette crise. Les questions liées à l'accès aux soins, au financement des hôpitaux, à l'emploi et à la sécurité sociale doivent être abordées dans ce contexte.
While I don't think Saint-Simon is included, a French colleague did a few try with it that turned out better than ChatGPT.
I'm currently working on an extended historical model for French (from 1000-2000) and maybe Saint-Simon memoirs will be included as well.
As a prompt engineering trick, I find it helps to use faux archaism (such as "pray tell" as an introductory phrase). This is basically a reinforcement anchor in the 17th century region of embedding space.
What is possible is to use a larger learning rate but this will be a hard trade-off with conversational capacities. Fine tuning is currently based on original texts with a synthetic prompt. The issues that people have noticed (repetitions, not remembering what was in the prompt) will be more significant if the learning rate is higher.
Maybe a solution will be to provide two different variant of the same model, one less immersive and more workable, and the other more immersive and buggy.
Common Corpus is commonly used now in pretraining, including by close labs, but rarely as the only source (which would be the actual ethical commitment).
Like most people training efficient models we move toward synthetic pretraining, but still maintaining our committment for data research and releasability. Lead current project is SYNTH, for now based on Wikipedia but we'll generalize with seeds from Common Corpus.