Cheese48923846

My best guess is it will be similar to tractors and farming.

1 guy on a tractor does the work of a whole team of animals and men. But I don't think any commercial farm has ever gone down to 0 men, and I don't think they ever will. Too many things need real eyes on the ground to make decisions and adjust.

Outside context gained through sensory input (eyes, ears) may be hard to fully replace. You'd need a human to at least give the AI that extra context. Help it work inside the bubble it's contained to.

Destructive things like warfare, I think AI will do great. But even if massive armies of land/air/sea robots controlled through starlink satellites become the norm, there will almost certainly still be human soldiers around. Context, working in civilian populated zones where judgement is needed, etc.

Never got involved.

I think of bitcoin and all the crypto products the same way I think of baseball cards. The underlying asset is worthless cardboard. Value is pure speculation. Sure you make real money speculating, trading cardboard for real cap gains, but it's cardboard at the end of the day.

Value can vanish in an instant. As old baseball card collectors die off, there's no new wave of young people willing to pay a cool million dollars for a rare card. And exactly that has happened to many crypto products.

Bitcoin has enjoyed the "first wave" effect. But the days of 5000x gains on a "cardboard" underlying asset are going to be harder to find. Bitcoin is not going to 5000x again from it's current price. New crypto products will not either with the flood of new coins and new product fatigue.

The fact I can personally recreate a bitcoin equivalent right now with the effort of a button click should be concerning. I can't duplicate gold with a button click. I can't duplicate a business with high profit margin. I can't duplicate real estate.

What did DHH do? I've seen some of his youtube videos and he comes across as a super reasonable person.

For work I use a laptop plugged into a docking station. External monitors, keyboard, mouse, speakers, webcam, etc. In practice it's a desktop in laptop form factor.

I never work in a coffee shop. I never work on a plane. I use computers at my home or work docking stations only. I don't benefit from the laptop form factor.

I'm on team desktop 100%. At home, a mac mini does the job. Arguably just as portable as a laptop if you are simply carrying it from docking station A to B. Fits in a laptop carry bag just fine. It's 2026; a "desktop" doesn't need to be an un-portable massive box that weighs 30 pounds.

My current plan is to ride the Apple M chip wave while avoiding their expensive laptops. Mac mini delivers the goods in a cheaper, just as portable package.

It's a sad day. The end of an era.

Code by Charles Petzold. Greeat first book for anyone going down the techy path. Will fill in knowledge gaps missing from most new people.

Doesn't Android already use the Linux kernel?

There's absolutely no way I'm using a gas guzzling 2018 intel clunker with unsupported software issues. Maybe if i need the box to double as a space heater.

Basline mac mini is $800 and gets you into the M4 tier chips. Overkill for web dev and iOS apps. Enough power to carry you for 10+ years of dev work before your next upgrade. I'm still on the M1 mini and plan upgrade at the 10 year mark (2031) or if I need more power sooner (unlikey).

I feel the mini's are price competitive. They say "apple tax" but go on to some linux machine provider, select similar stats, and see the price tag rocket past the mini.

Debian. The big fat daddy that carries all the other distros.

Yes, everyone in the know knows it. That flaw is the edge start ups have. Fat, red tape, and bureaucracy is cut.

Replaced with a new set of problems of course. Like no money. And if the startup is successful it will eventually morph into a big fat corporate culture. The circle of life.

I would not completely exclude big tech. Hold a cap weighted index as the core position. Soften the tech concentration with value tilts.

For the US stock sleeve of your portfolio you might try

    75% VTI  #core position. cap weighted total US market
    10% AVLV #tilt large cap value
    15% AVUV #tilt small cap value

No guarantees this outperforms 100% VTI, but it achieves the goal of softening the big tech concentration.

Don't forget international. A good way reduce your big tech allocations

    80% VEA  #intl developed
    20% VEXC #intl emerging, ex-China

Put it all together with a 60/40 US/intl split

    VTI 45
    AVLV 6
    AVUV 9
    VEA 32
    VEXC 8

The blow of a SpaceX pump-n-dump is a drop in the ocean on this portfolio. In addition, only free float SpaceX shares will be bought by the index which is a fraction of all of SpaceX. Even a more concentrated S&P500 portfolio would not get hurt too much by the pump and dump.

> world stocks like VTI

VTI is US only.

Tighten up the diet to get weight down.

Exercise. Any kind of exercise, from strength training to walking.

The diet-and-exercise cliche is a cliche because it effects just about everything about us. It may not be the only factor in snoring. Or even the dominant factor. But I'd bet the house it's a factor.

He became Lord Voldemort. No one knows exactly what he did, but you don't dare even whisper his name.