Alive-in-2025

Could be you've got it backwards here.

Well, this will be a great improvement for America. We all need more centralization of media ownership by the oligarchs.

"Software architecture" and engineering quality overall has had questionable quality at best. I don't see how vibe coding big new systems will make it better. I predict vibe coding will make for an even more golden age of hacking and a large increase in ransomware and breaking into systems. Today's giant hodgepodge of glued together software products could actually be better than vibing up something new.

I'd also expect the offensive side of hacking into systems will greatly benefit from LLMs finding an almost endless series of new vulnerabilities in even crappier llm software. I'm just so cynical.

We are clearly getting to the point, or past the point, where humans will not understand the code base very well or at all. I fear we are building a tower of "it kind of works this way" (maybe it does or maybe it doesn't), in a couple years people won't know what they can change, they won't get much of the architecture.

If one can't understand the monstrosity that was built up over time, where the code base is enormous, millions and millions of lines and components, all with a few buggy corners that the tests didn't touch, and a human didn't have the insight to write a test that understands and verifies the corner cases, it will be like a magic machine that we can't change because we don't understand it and we can't afford years of effort. Some may hope their LLM will be able to understand it.

We'll have things that are buggy in ways that become very difficult to understand or fix, and no one can afford the effort. Remember when we had all those huge old programs from the 60s or early 70s, before there were tests maybe, or unit tests. Code written at a lot of human effort, but before the ideas of software engineering made it more tractable to build large programs reliably, testable.

We are creating a new problem for the people that take over our new code, just like the "vast for the time" 1960s huge cobol program can't be changed.

those orgs don't have infinite resources. I think you are suggesting there's something nefarious about this.

People who want to use these alternatives need a more public and anonymous donation program. Some prominent free speech people need to get together as donation and PR attention figureheads with xcancel and mayb lrvick? There would be a lot of people willing to donate.

Yes, the US has lost it's damn mind, Trump is making destructive choices by the day, for the economy, wealth, budget deficits, inflation, relationships with our closest allies. It's been a few weeks since he threatened to invade our closest allies in Greenland and Canada, also has threatened not to help if Russia invades Europe/NATO.

About half the country can't believe what's going on, 1/4 thinks he's all great somehow, 1/4 just wants to pretend everything is ok and they don't have to pay attention.

We are living the end of empire, like Nero metaphorically fiddling while Rome burned.

This kind of article makes me think what other medical and scientific discoveries we have suppressed or ignored even to this day because there is so much western country prudishness at play? Since we've been so afraid (at the cultural level in the US but also in other judaeo-christian countries) of female sexuality, female independence, gay people, anal sex, what are we missing here?

Maybe you could make it work even better with PFAS added. Forever chemicals are forever!

I propose we continue making the vaccine available, keep updating it for the latest flu, make it broadly available to everyone. In the "rich west", we keep people getting inoculated, and our health care payments keep research on the vaccines continuing. Also we make it available free for people in the developing world, or almost free. Vaccination should basically be a universal human right. Bill Gates by himself was paying for a ton of vaccines and also convinced the US govt to fund some. Unfortunately vandals came into power in the US.

We kick the idiots out who are destroying the international systems at the behest of our idiocracy government in the us. See what they did to usaid. Also those same people love to complain about non-existent things, such as that vaccines are awful and hurt us (like Kennedy in the us).

What happens when we have proofs that are too long for a human to understand, and only the llm can spend the perhaps years of human effort to verify things? That will happen.

With humans we break things down (proofs, new concepts) into digestible hunks for each other, because you want other people to understand them but also verify them. And it's less common for someone to build a tower of new intellectual things with 1,000 new connected ideas that prove things and build up together, that ends with P = NP after all or something.

So since we have these new tools that can chain things together more than we can, eventually there will be huge "proofs" where there are long chains of new ideas, concepts used to build up ever more in giant intellectual towers. And we can't verify/understand them, at least not for many many years.

I shudder to think of such a situation. We already have very important ideas that have no proofs, that people build on. Now build 100s of these things together.

It's just turtles all the way down. This is not different than the fact we know as programmers there are bugs in the tools and compilers we use, they get fixed over time but more bugs remain. It is frustrating to realize that we aren't on solid ground like we want to be.

Do you trust the result of your c++ program is correct? Because there are bugs in every compiler, language. You passed that million test correctness checker on the new version of the compiler, but it didn't catch everything.

When a bug is fixed, you don't immediately retry all existing results from your application program. Maybe you would if the bug was in some area you know was important and exercised by your code, say you were adding and multiplying numbers and bugs were found in that area.

The checker has a bug, the compiler the checker was testing had a bug, your own code that was compiled by the compiler had a bug probably. There can be bugs at any layer.

But we do have endless studies showing not eating enough fiber increases your chance of having colon cancer, and we also know a lot of people today don't have nearly as much fiber as people did in the past.