> So we (or, more precisely, FiveThirtyEight’s lead lifestyle writer Walt Hickey) ran a simulation that flipped a weighted coin with a 97.9 percent chance of landing on a Jennings win. Every time it did, we “flipped the coin” again. We did 1 million of these simulations.
This is just a binomial distribution. Did they seriously estimate the answer instead of solving it analytically?
This is just a binomial distribution. Did they seriously estimate the answer instead of solving it analytically?