> Give it five to ten years, human-like and beyond-human intelligence will be built
That's probably a bit early. The Machine Intelligence Research Institute has collected various surveys of experts asked about this question. The one with the earliest estimates asked the question, “Assuming beneficial political and economic development and that no global catastrophe halts progress, by what year would you assign a 10%/50%/90% chance of the development of artificial intelligence that is roughly as good as humans (or better, perhaps unevenly) at science, mathematics, engineering and programming?” Of 19 replies, the median estimates for 10%, 50%, and 90% were 2025, 2035, and 2070, respectively."
That's probably a bit early. The Machine Intelligence Research Institute has collected various surveys of experts asked about this question. The one with the earliest estimates asked the question, “Assuming beneficial political and economic development and that no global catastrophe halts progress, by what year would you assign a 10%/50%/90% chance of the development of artificial intelligence that is roughly as good as humans (or better, perhaps unevenly) at science, mathematics, engineering and programming?” Of 19 replies, the median estimates for 10%, 50%, and 90% were 2025, 2035, and 2070, respectively."
Other surveys and research are described here: http://intelligence.org/2013/05/15/when-will-ai-be-created/