Even pg discussed the phenomenon, as you undoubtedly know. There's a good idea, or a news article hailing progress, or some other kind of optimism, then the first comment is a mid-brow dismissal. They are the lowest-effort comments to make; "that won't work because X isn't well-respected and Y often happens to similar teams" requires almost no research and cannot really be refuted.
The only way to refute it is by calling a spade a spade, and look what I get for doing so: having my comment twisted to be fuzzy feel-good smarm crap, when really I'm just saying "shut up and get out of the way if you don't think it'll work."
Even pg discussed the phenomenon, as you undoubtedly know. There's a good idea, or a news article hailing progress, or some other kind of optimism, then the first comment is a mid-brow dismissal. They are the lowest-effort comments to make; "that won't work because X isn't well-respected and Y often happens to similar teams" requires almost no research and cannot really be refuted.
The only way to refute it is by calling a spade a spade, and look what I get for doing so: having my comment twisted to be fuzzy feel-good smarm crap, when really I'm just saying "shut up and get out of the way if you don't think it'll work."