They're hypothetical inferences, but the downside to using actual realistic examples is that even when they're meticulously researched, people nitpick them to a degree that baffles me. Like, asserting "but the probability of the evidence is either 0 or 1, so it's clearly impossible to ever make any inferential reasoning work".
The examples here are well chosen to eliminate the usual attacks on inference. They're ODD. But they're not invalid.
The examples here are well chosen to eliminate the usual attacks on inference. They're ODD. But they're not invalid.