This isn't an original view, but I suspect that PCs will become specialized devices for particular groups (professional writers / coders / video editors, or those who aspire to do professional work; PC gaming enthusiasts; a couple of others), while most other people doing most other things will migrate to cell- and tablet-like form factors; maybe they'll have a computer around for something but does it matter if the computer is five or even ten years old?
The migration factor would seem to be an important part of Dustin's point—along with the idea that teens and 20-somethings are leading indicators, as they were for social networks, mp3s, etc.
(I'm typing this on a 27" iMac but would broadly define myself as part of the "specialist" group.)
The migration factor would seem to be an important part of Dustin's point—along with the idea that teens and 20-somethings are leading indicators, as they were for social networks, mp3s, etc.
(I'm typing this on a 27" iMac but would broadly define myself as part of the "specialist" group.)
Incidentally, cameras appear to be following a similar trajectory to PCs, with sales falling off in the last two or so years. See e.g. http://www.dslrbodies.com/newsviews/when-will-the-panic-star... or http://www.dslrbodies.com/newsviews/march-2014-nikon-news/ha....