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Comment by trout

Here's a report you can see the current projects with a bit of history: http://www.potaroo.net/tools/ipv4/index.html

The potaroo site by Geoff Huston has been running for over a decade tracking address consumption.

Some history for ARIN consumption predictions: Feb 2014 predicts Mar 2015.

Oct 2013 predicts Jan 2015 [0].

Apr 2013 predicts Apr 2014 [1].

Nov 2012 predicts Sept 2013 [2].

Sep 2012 - RIPE out of addresses.

Apr 2011 - APNIC out of addresses.

Feb 2011 - IANA out of addresses.

Dec 2011 predicts July 2013 [3].

July 2011 predicts Nov 2013 [4].

Prior to this it's simply about IANA calculations, though with some algebra some dates could be extracted.

As well, here's a Cisco article from 2005 describing some of the painful parts of trying to predict the address consumption (where they guess 2016 in 2005): http://www.cisco.com/web/about/ac123/ac147/archived_issues/i...

[0] http://web.archive.org/web/20111227105916/http://www.potaroo... [1] http://web.archive.org/web/20111227105916/http://www.potaroo... [2] http://web.archive.org/web/20121122120407/http://www.potaroo... [3] http://web.archive.org/web/20111227105916/http://www.potaroo... [4] http://web.archive.org/web/20110709090704/http://www.potaroo...

parent trout 12 years ago

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