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Comment by lelanthran

> The amount itself is probably meaningless. The fact that there was a shortfall at all is, for me, the signal.

It is a signal, but I am not sure what it is signalling...

It could be signalling that all surplus money has been consumed already (i.e. the investment class has no more money left to invest).

It could signal that the specific class of investment is no longer desirable (i.e. the investment money is there, but has no appetite for token-providers).

It could mean that OpenAI, specifically, is considered not worth committing to anymore.

We should be looking at how the entire class of token providers is doing; if the rest are still getting interest from investors but OAI is not, then it's just OAI that is in trouble. If the entire class is not getting the money they are asking for, then maybe the peak of the bubble is reached (or the surplus money is all invested).

parent lelanthran 12 hours ago

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