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Comment by Eridrus

I think it was obvious that more programmers would be necessary, but if you look at BLS forecasts from 1985, they expected +~250k programmers/computer analysts each over 10 years, which is basically what happened. Secretarial employment was 3m at the time and predicted to stay basically flat, which is basically what happened.

Typists and data entry work cratered, but overall admin support actually went up.

There are hundreds of millions of workers in the US, and about 5 million computing professionals right now. There are 3.5m workers in admin assistant roles.

The growth in computing employment is totally overshadowed by parts of the workforce. BLS' "Management, business and finance" grouping grew by 19m since the early 80s.

Nobody knows what the equivalent to this is going to be until the economy starts reorganizing itself.

parent Eridrus 4 days ago

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