That's a bold claim. It was almost certainly true for models in 2023, when it was written. I think that the recent spate of mathematical discoveries at least significantly narrow the implications for even current models (one can argue that they are only re-mixing existing mathematical concepts to solve problems that humans initially generated, but in my opinion, at some point you are really narrowing what it means for an idea to be "novel"). And I would seriously consider taking odds against it for models within the next 3 years (since that's how long it's been since it was published).
We are basically already at the point where if what current frontier models can do isn't truly "novel", then the vast majority of humans have never had a novel idea in their lives. My three years from now guess is that if whatever it is that frontier models can do at that point isn't "novel", then no human ever will have had a novel idea.
We are basically already at the point where if what current frontier models can do isn't truly "novel", then the vast majority of humans have never had a novel idea in their lives. My three years from now guess is that if whatever it is that frontier models can do at that point isn't "novel", then no human ever will have had a novel idea.