Some form of AI RSI is likely, but why would you expect the improvement at each level to stay proportional the level itself (which is required for exponential improvement), or even why would the rate of improvement stay above a particular constant (required for linear growth)?
To me the most likely scenario is RSI with diminishing returns, as the models get closer to the limits of the general approach to AI that they embody. The decreasing rate of improvement might look like a log curve, or even an horizontal asymptote. Not that scary.
To me the most likely scenario is RSI with diminishing returns, as the models get closer to the limits of the general approach to AI that they embody. The decreasing rate of improvement might look like a log curve, or even an horizontal asymptote. Not that scary.