It may be novel, but I agree with parent that it's mostly in the convex hull of previous knowledge. I like the term remix to describe that! Progress and truly novel things often come from "out of the box", and we know how quickly LLM output quality degrades when it leaves the space spanned by its training data.
So I would also expect a plateau. I guess future progress will depend on if we'll have enough people who still enjoy free thinking and brooding over problems, when there's the tempting option to just ask for an instant result that does the job of the moment.
So I would also expect a plateau. I guess future progress will depend on if we'll have enough people who still enjoy free thinking and brooding over problems, when there's the tempting option to just ask for an instant result that does the job of the moment.