> When you have the mind of "the models are wrong", you tend to be brought there by select counter examples, and in that space you only feed on counter examples.
Box's (possibly apocryphal) aphorism, "all models are wrong, but some are useful", is the better mindset.
Obviously we can never perfectly model nature, but we can often get close enough to form useful predictions. A minor predictive failure does not necessarily mean you throw the model, and all of its predictions, out entirely.
> "The experts are wrong (and you can be right in 15 minutes if you consume this media!)" is abundant.
Social media, sadly, preys on the feeble-minded or willingly-deceived :(
Box's (possibly apocryphal) aphorism, "all models are wrong, but some are useful", is the better mindset.
Obviously we can never perfectly model nature, but we can often get close enough to form useful predictions. A minor predictive failure does not necessarily mean you throw the model, and all of its predictions, out entirely.
> "The experts are wrong (and you can be right in 15 minutes if you consume this media!)" is abundant.
Social media, sadly, preys on the feeble-minded or willingly-deceived :(