nothing indicated otherwise at the time. IMO he just underestimated RL-scaling. chinese models improved a lot too, they are not parrots anymore, there's some real intelligence, at 27B params.
consider me optimist now, but just few months ago, even frontier models were dumb, doing stupid mistakes all the time, all of them were so dumb I'd never expect anything to change in just few months.
consider me optimist now, but just few months ago, even frontier models were dumb, doing stupid mistakes all the time, all of them were so dumb I'd never expect anything to change in just few months.