I’ve changed my mind on this and think we’re already at AGI, in a jagged way. Remember we used to talk about narrow AI, which was the chess systems that beat expert humans but could do nothing else. Now models can do a wide range of tasks in very useful ways. That’s the general in AGI.
Now it seems like this ill-defined term has various other meanings attached that are separate milestones:
1. Continuous learning
2. Human-like reasoning
3. Ability to adapt to new situations and modalities
4. Being smarter than the most smart humans
And probably many more.
It’d be nice if we could get some general consensus on terminology if we’re going to debate what has or could come.
Now it seems like this ill-defined term has various other meanings attached that are separate milestones:
1. Continuous learning 2. Human-like reasoning 3. Ability to adapt to new situations and modalities 4. Being smarter than the most smart humans
And probably many more.
It’d be nice if we could get some general consensus on terminology if we’re going to debate what has or could come.