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Comment by xenadu02

If we exclude short-term shortages then no. The cost to make a wafer hasn't really changed. Larger wafers improved costs but that's about it AFAIK.

Feature sizes have been shrinking unevenly for two decades now combined with the overall slowdown in improvements. Transistors themselves are FinFET geometry and something like 15-30 atoms thick and maybe 80-100 across. There ain't much juice left to squeeze in terms of size but perhaps we'll figure out how to reduce leakage (heat).

Physics hates the very large and the very small. The large get the tyranny of volume scaling + general relativity. The small have their entire concept of reality smashed by quantum mechanics.

parent xenadu02 1 month ago

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