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Comment by timr

No. The person making the improbable argument is required to provide an affirmative case for that argument.

It's not my job to make the argument for them.

For what it's worth, I have done your suggested exercise, and I find every causal link (including the ones brought up by luminaries like Amodei) to be outrageous and poorly argued. But it's not my job expend effort to make their outrageous arguments better.

parent timr 1 month ago

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