Comment by nilkn

I believe this rule of thumb will come to fail. The combination of superhuman mathematical reasoning and synthesis in upcoming AI models plus the rapid build-out of scalable formal verification infrastructure means this exponential in math is going to take off quite explosively, and we've barely seen anything yet. Mathematics is going to decisively move beyond human ability fairly soon (within our lifetimes, if not much more abruptly). It seems abundantly clear to me that much of the work will only be immediately accessible to AI, and rather than trying to explain all of it back to humans we will rather focus on explaining the portions that humans would benefit disproportionately from understanding.