> So take robots: I can promise you that you won't see robotics in every household in the next decade (especially so if we exclude the current market of robot vacuums).
People in 2016 were adamant that the current frontier LLM capabilities would not be achievable in the next decade.
Modern home robots prototypes look awkward and mostly useless the same way GPT-2 was looking like a curious but mostly useless thing in 2016.
I can totally see a capable and affordable home robots that are worth buying for the majority of the population being a reality by 2036. Maybe not _every_ household, but a good number of them.
People in 2016 were adamant that the current frontier LLM capabilities would not be achievable in the next decade.
Modern home robots prototypes look awkward and mostly useless the same way GPT-2 was looking like a curious but mostly useless thing in 2016.
I can totally see a capable and affordable home robots that are worth buying for the majority of the population being a reality by 2036. Maybe not _every_ household, but a good number of them.