Comment

Comment by jmyeet

Not to repeat myself, but I'll point to earlier comments about what's going on with interest rates [1].

For some context here, it's worth mentioning the Yen carry trade [2]. This is actually relevant because it allegedly underpins the AI investment boom [3] and the Yen appreciating is a real problem for investors who borrowed Yen to invest, particularly if it's into a bubble that may well pop. It's a double shammy.

I'm wondering if this is going to be another George Soros moment. Soros famously broke the Bank of England who were trying to maintain a rate for the pound [4]. If massive AI investment is fueled on the Yen then there's a pretty big icentive to break the Yen by investors. This administration would normally be on board with that sort of thing (and actively profit from it) so it's not yet clear to me what's going on.

[1]: https://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=49119122

[2]: https://www.economicshelp.org/blog/glossary/yen-carry-trade/

[3]: https://www.businessinsider.com/yen-carry-trade-unwind-stock...

[4]: https://www.investopedia.com/ask/answers/08/george-soros-ban...

parent jmyeet 3 months ago

Discussion

Live from the official Hacker News API

A modern reader for Hacker News · SvelteKit + Skeleton