We'll probably be able to tell if and when Yudkowsky's AGI arrives.
Once AI can improve itself, frontier labs will no longer need human developers. So we might see a massive layoff of top talent and a dramatic increase in product quality at the same time. This usually doesn't happen in human businesses. It is also very much against the interest of anyone who is already at the top of the pay table at those labs.
Once AI can improve itself, frontier labs will no longer need human developers. So we might see a massive layoff of top talent and a dramatic increase in product quality at the same time. This usually doesn't happen in human businesses. It is also very much against the interest of anyone who is already at the top of the pay table at those labs.