yes and in my example the ending point of the calculation is 0.58.
I make an intermediate step explicit in this derivation because it is important for the understanding of the problem.
This kind of intermediate step happens a lot in forecasting competitions, where participants are asked for their forecasts and their confidence in their forecasts. I want to show here that you need to include that in your forecast (all you belief) and not keep it separated.
I make an intermediate step explicit in this derivation because it is important for the understanding of the problem.
This kind of intermediate step happens a lot in forecasting competitions, where participants are asked for their forecasts and their confidence in their forecasts. I want to show here that you need to include that in your forecast (all you belief) and not keep it separated.