It seems like a solid set of criteria for how easily a task can be automated by AI agents is:
- extent to which correctness of solution be easily specified and checked
- extent to which new potential solutions can be implemented as text
- extent to which prior art exists online
This basically maps to software engineering and math. I think a fair bit of AI hype comes from the fact that the very architects of AI are the people whose jobs are most easily automated by AI. They think, “if my job receives this much of a boost from AI, surely every job will be the same”. Ironically it couldn’t be further from the truth… and likewise the predictions of widespread labor obsolescence
- extent to which correctness of solution be easily specified and checked
- extent to which new potential solutions can be implemented as text
- extent to which prior art exists online
This basically maps to software engineering and math. I think a fair bit of AI hype comes from the fact that the very architects of AI are the people whose jobs are most easily automated by AI. They think, “if my job receives this much of a boost from AI, surely every job will be the same”. Ironically it couldn’t be further from the truth… and likewise the predictions of widespread labor obsolescence