I attribute the excitement of the VC and CEO cast to the same underlying motive, but I think there are at least several other ways all this could play out:
- the Cul-de-Sac: AI progress flattens as scaling data and compute, RL and algorithmic improvements hit diminishing returns.
- democratization: LLMs decentralize, mirroring the shift from mainframes to personal computers.
- AI creates new jobs and thus new dependencies for the capitalist class
- the Cul-de-Sac: AI progress flattens as scaling data and compute, RL and algorithmic improvements hit diminishing returns.
- democratization: LLMs decentralize, mirroring the shift from mainframes to personal computers.
- AI creates new jobs and thus new dependencies for the capitalist class
- Any combination of the above.