Comment

Comment by tptacek

This issue reveals the gap between the prediction market premise and what these things actually are, which is: unregulated prop gambling venues.

If things like Kalshi and Polymarket are prediction markets, then, at least as far as the intrinsic concerns of the market itself are concerned, insider trading is a good thing; literally part of the point.

If they are instead how they function today, then insider trading is a game-breaking fairness issue, like having a device to read your opponents cards in a poker game, and then they're a real problem.

You can tell what these businesses think their platforms are for by how they handle these issues.

parent tptacek 6 months ago

Discussion

Live from the official Hacker News API

A modern reader for Hacker News · SvelteKit + Skeleton