I believe there is a Verification Complexity Barrier
As you add components to a system, the time it takes to verify that the components work together increases superlinearly.
At a certain point, the verification complexity takes off. You literally run out of time to verify everything.
AI coding agents hit this barrier faster than ever, because of how quickly they can generate components (and how poorly they manage complexity).
I think verification is now the problem of agentic software engineering. I think formal methods will help, but I don't see how they will apply to messy situations like end-to-end UI testing or interactions between the system and the real world.
As you add components to a system, the time it takes to verify that the components work together increases superlinearly.
At a certain point, the verification complexity takes off. You literally run out of time to verify everything.
AI coding agents hit this barrier faster than ever, because of how quickly they can generate components (and how poorly they manage complexity).
I think verification is now the problem of agentic software engineering. I think formal methods will help, but I don't see how they will apply to messy situations like end-to-end UI testing or interactions between the system and the real world.
I posted more detailed thoughts on X: https://x.com/i/status/2027771813346820349