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Comment by MichaelNolan

Most to least confident:

1. Bazel is still not widely used outside of massive monorepos. (because its such a pain to use)

2. Solar power will surpass wind power in the US to become the 4th largest source of electricity. https://eia.languagelatte.com/

3. Starship begins launching real payloads, achieves reusability of the upper stage, and successfully does a ship to ship fuel transfer.

4. Tesla stock has a major correction (>20%) as it becomes increasingly clear that Waymo, Zoox, AVRide, and various Chinese companies are significantly ahead in AV technology. And as it becomes clear that Optimus is a sham.

parent MichaelNolan 10 months ago

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