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Comment by mattglossop

That's a great question, as complex goals are often conflicting.

Right now, each goal uses a qualitative scale to establish an initial risk budget.

In the future, we will ask users to rank all goals (like a weighted priority list). This ranking allows our dynamic allocation engine to solve the optimization problem:

Prioritization: The ranking determines the importance of each goal in the final outcome calculation.

Continuous Recalibration: The engine doesn't use a fixed risk cap. Instead, it continuously adjusts the risk allocated to each goal based on its performance and time horizon.

Risk to Maximize Probability: Goals that are far from being achieved may temporarily take more risk to increase the chance of success, while goals that are ahead of schedule will de-risk immediately to protect gains.

This ensures the total portfolio risk stays optimal while maximizing the probability of achieving your goals in priority order.

parent mattglossop 11 months ago

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