> I'd be much more excited to see what level of coding and reasoning performance can be wrung out of a much smaller LLM + agent
Well, I think you are seeing that already? It's not like these models don't exist and they did not try to make them good, it's just that the results are not super great.
And why would they be? Why would the good models (that are barely okay at coding) be big, if it was currently possible to build good models, that are small?
Of course, new ideas will be found and this dynamic may drastically change in the future, but there is no reason to assume that people who work on small models find great optimizations that frontier models makers, who are very interested in efficient models, have not considered already.
Well, I think you are seeing that already? It's not like these models don't exist and they did not try to make them good, it's just that the results are not super great.
And why would they be? Why would the good models (that are barely okay at coding) be big, if it was currently possible to build good models, that are small?
Of course, new ideas will be found and this dynamic may drastically change in the future, but there is no reason to assume that people who work on small models find great optimizations that frontier models makers, who are very interested in efficient models, have not considered already.