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Comment by jsnell

6 months seems like a carefully cherry-picked number there, it is basically middle of the the trough of the tariff-induced market collapse that started 7 months ago and had been recovered from 5 months ago. That explains about 20 percentage points.

The USD is down about 10% this year. Anything USD-denominated needed to go up by 10% just to stay even in real terms.

So you're looking at a 30%-ish baseline for that specific 6 month interval. That's basically where Meta (etc) are. Of the larger outliers:

Nvidia continued growing at >50% YoY, and their largest customers announced increased capex spending plans.

Google's valuation had been depressed by uncertainty from ongoing anti-trust cases. One of them got resolved (and the day the remedies were announced is exactly when Google's share price decoupled from Microsoft, Amazon and Meta).

Tesla? I've got nothing.

parent jsnell 1 year ago

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