HN isn't always right. There was massive pushback against self driving and practically everyone was saying it would fail and is a bubble. The level of confidence people had about this opinion was through the roof.
Like people who didn't know anything would say it with such utter confidence it would piss me off a bit. Like how do you know? Well they didn't and they were utterly wrong. Waymo showed it's not a bubble.
AI is an unknown. It has definitely already changed the game. Changed the way we interview and changed the way we code and it's changed a lot more outside of that and I see massive velocity towards more change.
Is it a bubble? Possibly. But the possibly not angle is also just as likely. Either way I guarantee you that 99% of people on HN KNOW for a fact that it's a bubble because they KNOW that all of AI is a stochastic parrot.
I think the realistic answer is we don't actually know if it's a bubble. We don't fully know the limits of LLMs. Maybe it will be a bubble in the sense that AI will become so powerful that a generic AI app can basically kill all these startups surrounding specialized use cases of LLMs. Who knows?
Like people who didn't know anything would say it with such utter confidence it would piss me off a bit. Like how do you know? Well they didn't and they were utterly wrong. Waymo showed it's not a bubble.
AI is an unknown. It has definitely already changed the game. Changed the way we interview and changed the way we code and it's changed a lot more outside of that and I see massive velocity towards more change.
Is it a bubble? Possibly. But the possibly not angle is also just as likely. Either way I guarantee you that 99% of people on HN KNOW for a fact that it's a bubble because they KNOW that all of AI is a stochastic parrot.
I think the realistic answer is we don't actually know if it's a bubble. We don't fully know the limits of LLMs. Maybe it will be a bubble in the sense that AI will become so powerful that a generic AI app can basically kill all these startups surrounding specialized use cases of LLMs. Who knows?