Just because something exhibits an exponential growth at one point in time, that doesn’t mean that a particular subject is capable of sustaining exponential growth.
Their Covid example is a great counter argument to their point in that covid isn’t still growing exponentially.
Where the AI skeptics (or even just pragmatists, like myself) chime in is saying “yeah AI will improve. But LLMs are a limited technology that cannot fully bridge the gap between what they’re producing now, and what the “hypists” claim they’ll be able to do in the future.”
People like Sam Altman know ChatGPT is a million miles away from AGI. But their primary goal is to make money. So they have to convince VCs that their technology has a longer period of exponential growth than what it actually will have.
Their Covid example is a great counter argument to their point in that covid isn’t still growing exponentially.
Where the AI skeptics (or even just pragmatists, like myself) chime in is saying “yeah AI will improve. But LLMs are a limited technology that cannot fully bridge the gap between what they’re producing now, and what the “hypists” claim they’ll be able to do in the future.”
People like Sam Altman know ChatGPT is a million miles away from AGI. But their primary goal is to make money. So they have to convince VCs that their technology has a longer period of exponential growth than what it actually will have.