I think there's something to the IQ comment I made earlier. If adversary A claims the adversary B is doing a terrible thing, that thing doesn't materialize, the smart money isn't to be like "oh well B is only not doing it because they are sinister."
Or say another way - if "they are evil" whether they do X or opposite of X, whoever is setting up that story for you is full of shit.
Or say another way - if "they are evil" whether they do X or opposite of X, whoever is setting up that story for you is full of shit.